Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.037368 0.040606 0.043859 0.047367 0.051035 0.054753 0.058800
2025-12-07 0.032558 0.037390 0.042396 0.047947 0.053906 0.060092 0.066978
2025-12-14 0.028525 0.034491 0.040847 0.048070 0.056000 0.064394 0.073907
2025-12-21 0.025968 0.032881 0.040430 0.049189 0.058984 0.069518 0.081623
2025-12-28 0.022662 0.030123 0.038479 0.048380 0.059652 0.071958 0.086286
2026-01-04 0.020468 0.028438 0.037568 0.048586 0.061321 0.075399 0.091966
2026-01-11 0.018863 0.027300 0.037169 0.049270 0.063441 0.079274 0.098074
2026-01-18 0.017403 0.026214 0.036728 0.049817 0.065331 0.082833 0.103782
2026-01-25 0.015009 0.023792 0.034537 0.048162 0.064548 0.083244 0.105832
2026-02-01 0.013423 0.022284 0.033366 0.047647 0.065031 0.085055 0.109432
2026-02-08 0.012150 0.021093 0.032517 0.047457 0.065848 0.087211 0.113398
2026-02-15 0.011642 0.020896 0.032901 0.048769 0.068457 0.091462 0.119795
2026-02-22 0.011031 0.020539 0.033083 0.049852 0.070832 0.095500 0.126028
2026-03-01 0.010295 0.019958 0.032939 0.050503 0.072670 0.098900 0.131525
2026-03-08 0.009435 0.019135 0.032432 0.050657 0.073871 0.101527 0.136106
2026-03-15 0.009006 0.018920 0.032721 0.051824 0.076325 0.105659 0.142476
2026-03-22 0.007939 0.017656 0.031517 0.050997 0.076244 0.106700 0.145147
2026-03-29 0.007298 0.017005 0.031128 0.051213 0.077457 0.109297 0.149668
2026-04-05 0.006858 0.016643 0.031121 0.051919 0.079279 0.112631 0.155068
2026-04-12 0.006409 0.016232 0.031022 0.052484 0.080909 0.115723 0.160176
2026-04-19 0.005381 0.014744 0.029290 0.050778 0.079572 0.115121 0.160788
2026-04-26 0.004749 0.013885 0.028441 0.050246 0.079727 0.116346 0.163599
2026-05-03 0.004251 0.013222 0.027854 0.050050 0.080301 0.118080 0.167023